Does the violence at the border indicate a higher probability of U.S. military intervention? “I think the violence and the Trump administration’s positioning increases the probability of military intervention. This is akin to Obama’s “red line” for chemical weapons in Syria. If President Trump is not able to follow through on ousting Maduro and ensuring Guaido is president, he will face similar criticism. This increases the likelihood that the President will ensure Guaido’s success.” What are the next steps for the U.S.? “Finding a way to peaceably transition power. The invasion of Haiti could potentially serve as a model where ... Violence in Venezuela